Last week’s vote in Pennsylvania was an even worse result for the Democratic party than is widely supposed. Hillary Clinton’s impressive victory will sustain her campaign through all the remaining presidential primaries, even if Barack Obama bounces back on May 6 in Indiana and North Carolina. At the same time, though, Mr Obama’s campaign did not collapse. Far from it: he made big inroads into the lead that Mrs Clinton once had in the state.
Therein lies the problem. The result in Pennsylvania does not license the party’s “super-delegates” to get behind Mrs Clinton and overrule Mr Obama’s unassailable lead in elected delegates. Pennsylvania was a calamity because it resuscitated Mrs Clinton without coming close to crippling Mr Obama.
Of course, prolonging the ill-tempered battle between Mr Obama and Mrs Clinton hurts the Democrats and helps John McCain, the Republican candidate. For the Democrats, this is bad enough – but it is not the half of it. When this race is over, there will be a loser with ample reason, in either case, to challenge the winner’s legitimacy. The prolonging of the campaign is not the main problem. The greater danger for the Democrats comes at the termination of an exquisitely close race – in a bitterly divisive outcome, whoever prevails, regardless of whether it happens sooner or later.
You can read the rest of this column for the FT here.


Last weeks vote in Penn. was an expected result and only demonstrates the powerfull factions that exist within the Democratic Party. The result in Penn. had little effect on the eventual nomination process. Obama obtained an almost insurmountable lead after the Texas primary when Sen. Clinton was unable to stem the tide. There will be no legitimate challenge by the losing candidate. The rules will be observed by the superdelegates by the simple fact that any deviance or perceived inequity could result in the superdelegates losing funding support. The DNC controls the purse strings and many of these superdelegates are elected with funding and support from the DNC. The primary season will end on June 3rd. Which is earlier than previous years. Democrats can then focus their bitterness upon the GOP where it rightly belongs.
Posted by hammerdown | April 28, 2008 6:30 PM